Journal of Scientific Papers

ECONOMICS & SOCIOLOGY


© CSR, 2008-2019
ISSN 2071-789X

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  • General Founder and Publisher:

     
    Centre of Sociological Research

     

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    Mykolas Romeris University (Lithuania)

    Alexander Dubcek University of Trencín (Slovak Republic)


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Macroeconomic determinants of marriage and divorces in Azerbaijan

Vol. 17, No 4, 2024

Maryam Adilkhanova

 

International School of Economics, Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC),

Baku, Azerbaijan

E-mail: maryam_adilkhanova@unec.edu.az

ORCID 0009-0009-0818-8873 

 

Macroeconomic determinants of marriage and divorces in Azerbaijan

 

Khatai Aliyev

 

Department of Economics,

Indiana University Bloomington,

USA

E-mail: kaliyev@iu.edu

ORCID 0000-0001-8161-6269


 

Abstract. This research aims to identify how macroeconomic performance affects the marriage and divorce trends in Azerbaijan. Authors take economic growth, unemployment, and inflation rate indicators as primary measures of overall macroeconomic performance for 2000-2022 and employ ARDL methodology to examine the existence of long-run associations. Research results are in line with previous findings in the literature, confirming the significant long-term impact of inflation and unemployment rate on the divorce rate in Azerbaijan. Though the economic growth rate has no significant impact on the divorce rate, the research shows a positive impact on marriages and a decreasing influence on divorces in the country. Higher inflation and unemployment rates push the divorce rate upward. The unemployment rate has a particularly significant negative influence on the number of marriages in the case of Azerbaijan. Because the upward trend in the divorce rate is a hot topic in public discourse and perceived to be a social problem in the country, the research has substantial policy implications perspective.

 

Received: October, 2023

1st Revision: August, 2024

Accepted: December, 2024

 

DOI: 10.14254/2071-789X.2024/17-4/8

JEL ClassificationD19, J11, J12

Keywords: marriage, divorce, divorce rate, economic growth, unemployment, inflation, Azerbaijan