Journal of Scientific Papers

ECONOMICS & SOCIOLOGY


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ISSN 2071-789X

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Does economic growth influence the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions? Evidence for the United States–Mexico–Canada agreement

Vol. 18, No 1, 2025

Osvaldo U. Becerril Torres

 

Autonomous University of Mexico State, Toluca, Mexico

E-mail: obecerrilt@uaemex.mx

ORCID 0000-0002-5685-5636

 

Does economic growth influence the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions? Evidence for the United States–Mexico–Canada agreement

 

Citlalli A. Becerril-Tinoco

 

Research Center for Geospatial Information Sciences, Mexico

E-mail: cbecerril@centrogeo.edu.mx

ORCID 0009-0009-4739-9446


Justyna Wieloch

 

University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology

Lodz, Poland

justyna.wieloch@uni.lodz.pl

ORCID 0000-0001-5956-2129


Gabriela Munguía Vázquez

 

Autonomous University of Mexico State, Toluca, Mexico

E-mail: gmunguiav@uaemex.mx

ORCID 0000-0002-3753-8141

 


 

Abstract. This study aims to measure the impact of goods and services production on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The research is supported by a theoretical and methodological framework that incorporates a production function with two outputs. This approach makes it possible to demonstrate that emissions tend to reduce with economic growth. The research uses panel data for the North American region. The findings reveal significant differences across countries: the U.S. and Canada demonstrate a stronger emissions-reduction effect compared to Mexico. The findings reveal that in the thirty years since the United States–Mexico–Canada (USMCA) agreement was signed, CO2 emissions have dropped while the economy of the region has grown. The findings emphasize the need for increased coordination among national governments in executing public policies on reducing CO2 emissions, the main gas that causes the greenhouse effect, to mitigate environmental degradation. These results are consistent with the studies conducted for European countries that are members of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

 

Received: May, 2024

1st Revision: December, 2024

Accepted: March, 2025

 

DOI: 10.14254/2071-789X.2025/18-1/2

JEL ClassificationO44, Q56

Keywords: economic growth, CO2 emissions, panel data, production function, USMCA